Vladimir Guerrero Jr. entered the All-Star break with his power numbers in freefall, capping a rough stretch for the Toronto slugger on 14 Jul 2026.

What happened?

The Blue Jays’ slugging first baseman has managed just three home runs over his last 25 games, a sharp drop from his usual pace. Guerrero Jr. is now batting .245 with a .320 slugging percentage in that span, numbers that have raised eyebrows across the league. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s Junior Caminero has seized the moment, blasting seven homers in his last 15 games to cement his place as one of the game’s hottest young bats. The contrast between the two AL East stars couldn’t be sharper.

Why it matters for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Guerrero Jr.’s power outage comes at a brutal time for Toronto, which sits five games back in the division. The 25-year-old hasn’t homered since 29 June, and his exit velocity has dipped below 90 mph on multiple occasions. Scouts point to a slight hitch in his swing that’s costing him plate coverage against high fastballs. The Blue Jays need their cleanup hitter to rediscover his stroke before the trade deadline, or the club risks falling further behind in the crowded AL East.

Caminero’s rise and Guerrero Jr.’s shadow

Caminero, 21, has become the talk of baseball with his 10 homers over the last month. His 1.086 OPS since 1 June ranks among the best in the majors. The comparisons to Guerrero Jr. are unavoidable—both are Dominican sluggers with smooth left-handed swings—but Caminero’s power surge has pushed him into the AL Rookie of the Year conversation. Guerrero Jr., meanwhile, is fighting to stay relevant in an MVP race that seemed locked up just weeks ago.

What comes next?

Toronto’s coaching staff has scheduled extra film sessions with Guerrero Jr. to iron out the mechanical tweak. Manager John Schneider insists the slump is temporary. But with the Yankees and Red Sox surging, the Blue Jays can’t afford to wait. Guerrero Jr. must right the ship fast, or the narrative around his 2026 season could shift from disappointment to disaster.