Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is turning his season around, with a recent surge in performance against Houston Astros starter Hunter Brown.
What's Behind the Turnaround?
He has a .373 batting average with a .483 slug rate against Brown's fastball/sinker combination.
His hard-hit rate has risen from 48% to 57% against these pitch types since June 1.
Key Statistics
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has eclipsed 1.5 total bases in three of his last four games, showing serious signs of improvement.
62.5% of his extra-base hits have come against fastballs, making him a strong bet for Over 1.5 total bases.
Upcoming Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays face the Houston Astros on Monday, June 22, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. looking to continue his strong form.
He matches up well against Brown, who primarily throws a fastball/sinker combination.
Betting Picks
The best bet for the game is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases at +150, with a same-game parlay of Under 0.5 strikeouts and George Springer Over 0.5 hits.
Kazuma Okamoto is also a strong pick for a home run at +440, given his 63.2% hard-hit rate against the four-seamer.
Game Information
The game will be played on Monday, June 22, with the Toronto Blue Jays looking to cover the first five innings run line for the seventh time in their last nine games.
The Blue Jays have covered the F5 run line in six of their last eight games, with a 36% ROI.